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Underdog prediction markets

From Crypto.com's contracts to its own exchange, plus Underdog's fights with seven states.

What it isFantasy app with its own prediction exchange
ExchangeAristotle Exchange DCM, bought March 2026
In-house exchange liveJuly 18, 2026
CheckedOctober 2026

Underdog started as a fantasy sports app and has moved into prediction markets in two steps. In September 2025 it began offering Crypto.com’s event contracts inside its app. In 2026 it bought a CFTC-approved exchange and launched its own. This profile covers that history, the state fights it’s in and how it compares, checked October 2026.

How Underdog’s prediction markets work

  • 2025, through Crypto.com: on September 2, 2025 Underdog announced it would offer Crypto.com‘s CFTC-regulated sports event contracts in its app, in 16 states, most of which don’t have legal sports betting.
  • 2026, its own exchange: on March 9, 2026 Underdog bought Aristotle Exchange DCM, Inc. and Aristotle Exchange DCO, Inc., a CFTC-approved exchange and clearing house. Underdog launched its in-house exchange inside the app on July 18, 2026.
  • Contracts: yes/no event contracts on sports outcomes, priced by trading between users rather than set by a sportsbook.

Legal fights

  • On September 10, 2026 Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection ordered nine companies, including Underdog Predict, to stop offering sports event contracts in the state.
  • Underdog has sued seven states in federal court to stop them applying their gambling laws: Massachusetts, New Mexico, Washington, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Ohio and Tennessee. The Tennessee suit followed a cease-and-desist letter. None had been decided when we checked.

State-by-state detail: Ohio · Massachusetts · Wisconsin · Washington.

Underdog vs other sports prediction apps

Underdog Novig Fanatics Markets
Exchange Own (ex-Aristotle) Own (Ludlow Exchange) Crypto.com (CDNA)
Background Fantasy sports Sports exchange Sportsbook and merchandise

See also Novig, Fanatics Markets and Novig alternatives.

FAQ

Does Underdog have prediction markets?
Yes. It first offered Crypto.com’s contracts in 2025, and since July 2026 it has run its own exchange in the app.
Is Underdog’s prediction market legal?
Its exchange is CFTC-approved, but several states dispute sports event contracts. Connecticut ordered it to stop in September 2026, and Underdog is suing seven states.

Sources, checked October 28, 2026:

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