Taiwan votes in its “9-in-1” local elections on Saturday, November 28, 2026, choosing mayors and county magistrates in all 22 cities and counties. Polymarket and Kalshi both list markets on the four biggest mayoral races and on which party wins the most of the 22. The headline contest is Taipei, where Kuomintang (KMT) mayor Chiang Wan-an faces Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) legislator Puma Shen. These are the live odds.
Which party wins the most races?
Live odds · both venues
Most mayor and magistrate races won
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.
Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that party wins the most of the 22 mayor and magistrate races, so it reads as the market’s chance. It counts races, not votes, and Polymarket doesn’t count independent winners for any party.
Taipei mayor
Live odds · both venues
Taipei mayoral election winner
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.
Chiang Wan-an is seeking a second term. His main challenger, Puma Shen, is a first-term DPP legislator; Kalshi lists him under his Chinese name, Shen Bo-yang. Six candidates are on the ballot. The two met in a televised debate at TVBS on October 31. Shen said afterwards he “very much hoped” to debate again, while Chiang said he was open to it and would wait for the organisers’ invitations, Focus Taiwan reported.
New Taipei mayor
Live odds · both venues
New Taipei mayoral election winner
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.
In Taiwan’s most populous city, the DPP’s Su Chiao-hui, a sitting legislator, faces the KMT’s Lee Shu-chuan, a former Taipei deputy mayor.
Taichung mayor
Live odds · both venues
Taichung mayoral election winner
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.
The KMT’s candidate is Johnny Chiang, the deputy speaker of the Legislative Yuan (Kalshi lists him as Chiang Chi-chen). The DPP’s is legislator Ho Hsin-chun.
Kaohsiung mayor
Live odds · both venues
Kaohsiung mayoral election winner
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.
In the south, the main contest is between two legislators: Lai Jui-lung for the DPP and Ko Chih-en for the KMT. Five candidates are running.
What’s on the ballot
- Nine kinds of office. Voters choose city mayors and county magistrates, city and county councillors, township chiefs and councillors, indigenous district chiefs and councillors, and ward chiefs. That’s 11,051 posts, the Central News Agency reported.
- The 22 heads. The six special municipalities (Taipei, New Taipei, Taoyuan, Taichung, Tainan and Kaohsiung) plus 16 other cities and counties.
- One round. Each race goes to the candidate with the most votes, with no runoff.
How these markets settle
- Polymarket’s mayoral markets resolve to the candidate who becomes the next mayor as a result of this election, by a consensus of credible reporting, falling back on the Central Election Commission’s official results if there’s any doubt. If there’s no result by June 30, 2027, they resolve to “Other”.
- Kalshi’s mayoral markets pay Yes on the candidate who wins, and can settle early once media organisations agree on a call.
- The party market on Polymarket counts only official party nominees, so an independent’s win adds to no party’s total. Kalshi’s pays on the party that wins the most mayoral and magistrate races.
Rules as published on each market, checked November 9, 2026.
FAQ
When are Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?
Who is running for Taipei mayor?
Why are Puma Shen and Shen Bo-yang both listed?
Can I trade these markets from Taiwan?
Sources, checked November 9, 2026:
- Focus Taiwan (CNA): county and city head candidates (Sep 7, 2026)
- Focus Taiwan (CNA): parties ramp up campaigning ahead of Nov. 28 (Oct 14, 2026)
- Focus Taiwan (CNA): Shen seeks a second debate (Oct 31, 2026)
- Settlement rules: the Polymarket and Kalshi market pages (checked Nov 9, 2026)
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