World leaders, elections abroad and international crises: geopolitics markets put prices on questions that move fast and rarely have a scheduled answer. These pages cover the most traded ones, with neutral background and an explanation of exactly how each market settles, because in world affairs the rules often decide more than the headlines do.
Market guides
Elections abroad: Israel’s 2026 election and next prime minister · Spain’s November 2026 election · France’s 2027 presidential election.
Venezuela prediction markets
Head of state at year end, the next election, and the rules.
Open →Israel election 2026: next prime minister odds
Who forms Israel's next government.
Open →Spain election 2026: next prime minister odds
Sánchez vs Feijóo in a snap election.
Open →French presidential election 2027 odds
Who succeeds Macron in 2027.
Open →Most traded world politics markets
Elections and leaders worldwide
Latest price for “Yes”, shown as an implied chance. Polymarket volume in USD, Kalshi in contracts. Updated 5 min ago.
Related: All politics markets · How markets resolve disputes