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Ohio governor race 2026 odds

Live odds on Acton vs Ramaswamy, plus the Ohio Senate special election.

Ohio elects a new governor on November 3, 2026. Republican Mike DeWine is term-limited, and the race is between Democrat Amy Acton, the state’s former health director, and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy. These are the live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side, plus Ohio’s Senate special election on the same ballot.

Election dayNovember 3, 2026
SeatOpen (Mike DeWine, R, term-limited)
DemocratAmy Acton
RepublicanVivek Ramaswamy

Who will win the Ohio governor race?

Live odds · both venues

Ohio governor 2026: who wins?

Outcome Polymarket KalshiGap
Amy Acton (D) 79%▼4 77%▼6 2 pts
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 22%▲5 24%▲6 3 pts

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.

Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that candidate wins, so it reads as the market’s chance. Use the odds converter to compare a price with sportsbook odds.

Margin of victory

Live odds · Kalshi

Ohio governor: margin of victory (Kalshi)

Outcome Kalshi
Acton, 1+ pts 72%▼5
Acton, 2+ pts 69%▼1
Acton, 3+ pts 57%▼4
Acton, 4+ pts 45%▼8
Acton, 5+ pts 36%▼10
Acton, 6+ pts 28%▼6
Acton, 7+ pts 23%▼8
Acton, 8+ pts 15%▼11
Acton, 9+ pts 11%▼3
Acton, 12+ pts 8%—

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Updated every few minutes.

This market isn't trading on Polymarket or Kalshi right now. New markets usually open well before the event; check back soon.

The campaign so far

Acton led most public polls through October, though by varying margins, and at least one October poll showed Ramaswamy narrowly ahead. Ramaswamy and his allies have heavily outspent her on advertising, including millions of his own money, and Acton declined to debate him. Ohio has elected Republican governors in every race since 2010. Checked October 2026 against recent reporting.

Ohio Senate special election

Ohio also votes for a senator on the same day. Republican Jon Husted, appointed to the seat J.D. Vance left when he became vice president, faces former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. The winner serves the rest of Vance’s term, which ends in January 2029, so the seat is up again in 2028.

Live odds · both venues

Ohio Senate special election: who wins?

Outcome Polymarket KalshiGap
Sherrod Brown (D) 70%▲1 68%— 1 pts
Jon Husted (R) 31%▼1 32%▼1 2 pts

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.

Kalshi also lists a combo that ties the two Ohio races together, paying only if both legs come true:

Live odds · Kalshi

Ohio governor and Senate combo

Outcome Kalshi
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win 66%▼2
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win 20%▲5
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win 12%▼5
Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win 7%▲2

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Updated every few minutes.

How these markets settle

  • Polymarket resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC have all called the race for the same candidate, or on the official certified result if they haven’t.
  • Kalshi’s governor market settles on the party of the governor inaugurated after the 2026 election, but can settle early once a consensus of media organisations projects the winner. Its Senate market works the same way, based on who is sworn in.

Rules as published on each market, checked October 2026. Until a market settles, a price near $1 is still a tradeable position, not a payout.

FAQ

Who is favoured to be Ohio’s next governor?
The candidate at the top of the first table above, updated every few minutes from both venues.
Why isn’t Mike DeWine running?
Ohio limits governors to two consecutive terms, and DeWine has served two.
Is the Ohio Senate seat a full six-year term?
No. It’s a special election for the remainder of J.D. Vance’s term, which runs to January 2029.

Related: 2026 midterms · Senate control 2026 · California governor race · All politics markets · Every live Polymarket–Kalshi price gap