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MLB and World Series odds

Live World Series winner and MVP odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, plus the most traded baseball markets.

Live odds on Major League Baseball from Polymarket and Kalshi: who wins the World Series, who’s named its MVP, and the most traded baseball markets right now. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if it happens, so it reads as the market’s chance.

Live odds · both venues

World Series winner: live odds

Outcome Polymarket KalshiGap
Milwaukee Brewers 98%▲1 98%▲2 0 pts
Tampa Bay Rays <1%▼2 2%▼2 1 pts

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.

The 2026 World Series

The 2026 World Series is the Milwaukee Brewers against the Tampa Bay Rays. Neither franchise had won a World Series before, so either way baseball gets a first-time champion. Milwaukee swept the Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 in the National League Championship Series; Tampa Bay beat the Cleveland Guardians 4–2 in the American League Championship Series.

The Brewers won the first three games, 3–2, 5–4 and 10–1. Games 4 and 5 were scheduled in Tampa Bay on October 27 and 28, and Games 6 and 7, if needed, in Milwaukee on October 30 and 31. Checked October 28, 2026 against CBS Sports’ series schedule and results.

Once the series is decided and the venues settle these markets, the tables on this page switch to next season’s World Series market when Polymarket and Kalshi list it.

World Series MVP

Live odds · both venues

World Series MVP

Outcome Polymarket KalshiGap
William Contreras 62%▲8 59%▲4 3 pts
Jackson Chourio 13%▼16 18%▼24 5 pts
Aaron Ashby — 6%▲4 —
Cooper Pratt — 5%▲5 —
Jacob Misiorowski 2%▼2 <1%— 2 pts
Jonathan Aranda 2%▼2 <1%▼1 1 pts
Brice Turang 2%▼3 <1%— 1 pts
Drew Rasmussen 1%▼1 <1%— 1 pts

Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Names are matched across venues automatically; check each venue's rules before comparing, as resolution wording can differ. Updated every few minutes.

Most traded baseball markets

Polymarket: most traded MLB markets

Latest price for “Yes”, shown as an implied chance. Polymarket volume in USD, Kalshi in contracts. Updated 2 min ago.

Kalshi: most traded baseball markets

Latest price for “Yes”, shown as an implied chance. Polymarket volume in USD, Kalshi in contracts. Updated 2 min ago.

Reading baseball odds

Even a clearly better baseball team loses single games often, and in a best-of-seven series every result moves the price sharply because so few games are left. Starting pitchers matter more game to game than in most sports, so prices can shift when rotations are announced. Kalshi lists MLB as “Pro Baseball” and names teams by city; Polymarket uses “MLB” and full team names. The tables above match them automatically.

Want the same price as American odds? Use the odds converter: a 75% chance is about −300.

FAQ

Who is favoured to win the World Series?
The team at the top of the first table, updated every few minutes from both venues.
Who played in the 2026 World Series?
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays, both chasing their first title.
Can I trade baseball on Kalshi and Polymarket in the US?
Kalshi and Polymarket US list baseball contracts, but sports contracts are restricted in some states. See Is Kalshi legal?

Sources: CBS Sports: 2026 MLB playoff bracket, schedule and results (Oct 26, 2026, checked Oct 28, 2026).

Related: All sports markets · NFL odds · NBA odds · Every live Polymarket–Kalshi price gap