How many times will Elon Musk post on X this week? It’s one of Polymarket’s most traded novelty markets: every week traders bet on ranges of his post count, and the market settles on a public tracker. These are the live odds for the current and upcoming weeks, and how the count works.
This week’s tweet count
Live odds · Polymarket
Elon Musk posts this week: live odds
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Updated every few minutes.
Each range is its own outcome; the price is the market’s chance that the count lands in it. Polymarket runs overlapping markets, so several weeks may be trading at once.
All Elon Musk post-count markets
Musk post-count markets ranked by trading
Latest price for “Yes”, shown as an implied chance. Polymarket volume in USD, Kalshi in contracts. Updated 3 min ago.
How the count works
- Window. Each market covers a fixed period, typically from 12:00 p.m. ET on one day to 12:00 p.m. ET seven days later.
- What counts. Main-feed posts, quote posts and reposts. Ordinary replies don’t count, but replies that appear on his main feed are counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts count if they stay up long enough to be captured, about five minutes.
- Source. The “Post Counter” on Polymarket’s tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself as a back-up if the tracker fails.
Rules as published on the current market, checked October 2026. Read each week’s rules before trading.
How traders approach it
These markets move during the week as the running total becomes visible on the tracker: by mid-week, the remaining question is how many more posts come before the deadline. Bursts of activity around news events, launches or late nights can shift the range quickly, which is why the ranges near the current pace usually trade closest to each other.
FAQ
Do replies count?
Where can I see the current count?
Is this on Kalshi?
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