Kalshi lists markets on where the US average price of regular gasoline will be at the end of each week and month, measured by AAA. These are the live odds. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if the price ends above that level, so it reads as the market’s chance.
US gas price at the end of this week
Live odds · Kalshi
US average gas price: this week
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Updated every few minutes.
US gas price at the end of the month
Live odds · Kalshi
US average gas price: end of month
Latest price of each outcome, read as a chance. Updated every few minutes.
The tables roll over to the next week’s and month’s markets automatically once the current ones settle.
State gas price markets
Kalshi: gas price markets
Latest price for “Yes”, shown as an implied chance. Polymarket volume in USD, Kalshi in contracts. Updated 4 min ago.
How these markets settle
Each contract asks whether AAA’s average price of regular gasoline in the United States (or in a named state) will be strictly above a given level on the settlement date. A price exactly at the level settles No. AAA publishes its national and state averages daily at gasprices.aaa.com, which is where to check the current figure. Rules as published on each Kalshi market, checked October 28, 2026.
What moves gas prices
Pump prices follow crude oil with a lag of days to weeks, plus refinery margins, seasonal fuel blends and taxes, which is why state averages differ so much. For the oil side, see oil price odds.
Related: Economy markets · Oil price · CPI inflation