PPrime Minister of Israel after the next election? ·…50%▲23PIsraeli Legislative Election Winner · Likud>99%▲73PFed Decision in October? · No change96%▲2PTrail Blazers vs. Lakers · O/U 241.597%▲59PPistons vs. Knicks · Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.578%—PIsrael Election: Likud # of seats? · 25-2994%▲76KPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? ·…63%▲35KPro Baseball Champion · Milwaukee90%▼6KWhich party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic…91%—K2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep62%▼2PMLB World Series Champion 2026 · Milwaukee Brewers91%▼6KTexas Senate winner? · James Talarico66%▲1PBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep66%—PWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October? · ↓…72%—PPan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova ·…>99%—PDelaware vs. Western Kentucky50%▲2PPresidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance18%▼1KPro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner · Jackson Chourio44%▲5KTexas Governor winner? · Greg Abbott67%▼2PNext French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen43%▼1PWhich party will win the Senate in 2026? ·…67%▲1PUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...? · October 3195%▲3PFrance declares state of emergency by...? · December 317%▼3PRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance39%—

Polymarket vs PredictIt

The biggest global market vs a small-stakes US politics market, and where Polymarket US fits in.

Pick Polymarket ifYou want the biggest global markets (outside the US)
Pick PredictIt ifYou’re American and only trade politics
US usersPredictIt or the Polymarket US app
CheckedOctober 2026

Polymarket and PredictIt are both famous for political markets, but they’re aimed at different people. Polymarket’s main exchange is a global, crypto-funded market with enormous volume, closed to Americans. PredictIt is a small-stakes, dollar-funded US politics market. Americans who want Polymarket use its separate CFTC-regulated app, Polymarket US, which brings its own trade-offs.

Side by side

Polymarket (main exchange) Polymarket US PredictIt
Who can use it Users outside restricted countries; not the US Eligible US residents (iPhone app) US persons, 18+
Legal basis Offshore exchange CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing house CFTC staff no-action relief
Markets Politics, sports, crypto, culture, tech and more Sports, politics, crypto, economics and more Politics and policy only
Limits No fixed position cap Deposit limits (for example $50,000 a day by card or bank) $3,500 per contract per trader
Fees Taker fee 0.04–0.07 × p × (1 − p) by category; makers free Taker 0.0695 × p × (1 − p) 10% of profit on winning trades
Money Crypto (pUSD on Polygon) USD USD

From each platform’s documentation and recent reporting, checked October 2026.

Scale and liquidity

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market by volume, and its election markets are among the deepest anywhere. PredictIt’s $3,500-per-contract limit keeps every market small by design: it’s a place for many small positions, not big ones. That shows in the prices: a large order barely moves Polymarket’s biggest books, while thin PredictIt markets can swing several cents on modest trades. Live Polymarket politics markets:

Fees compared

Polymarket charges takers a fee shaped like price × (1 − price), from 0.04 on politics to 0.07 on crypto, and nothing to makers or on geopolitics markets. PredictIt charges nothing to trade but takes 10% of the profit on every winning trade. On a 50¢ politics share, Polymarket’s taker fee is 1¢; PredictIt takes 5¢ only if you win. See Polymarket fees.

Legal status for Americans

Polymarket’s main exchange treats the US as a restricted country, so Americans can’t trade there; using a VPN breaks its terms. US residents have two legal options: Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated app, or PredictIt, which operates under CFTC no-action relief amended in July 2025. See Is Polymarket legal in the US?

Choose Polymarket

Outside the US: for the deepest markets and widest range. In the US: Polymarket US, if you want sports and other categories in a regulated app.

Choose PredictIt

You’re American, trade only politics in small amounts, and prefer paying fees only when you win.

FAQ

Can Americans use Polymarket?
Not the main exchange. Americans can use the separate, CFTC-regulated Polymarket US app.
Which has better election odds?
Both reflect what traders pay. Polymarket’s main markets are much larger, so a single trader moves them less; PredictIt’s are capped and smaller.
Is PredictIt shutting down?
No. The CFTC’s attempt to close it in 2022 ended with an amended no-action letter in July 2025 that lets it continue with higher limits.

Related: Kalshi vs PredictIt · Polymarket alternatives · Polymarket review · Polymarket US